Sometimes I read articles and I need to put my thoughts somewhere. Why not here?
1. Spencer Greenberg on intrinsic vs. instrumental values, overconfidence, and how to actually update beliefs.
Host: Robert Wiblin Guest: Spencer Greenberg
PhD in Applied Mathematics, develops software for mental well-being, founder of ClearerThinking and EffectiveAltruism.
A robot for psychological counselling.
That is what my psychologist was telling me about.
1.6. Temptation bundling.
That is when you associate something bad with something good. Spencer is doing workouts while watching TV shows.
1.7. Happiness tricks.
Associate certain things with happy thoughts.
"Tea exists in the world, it's such a wonderful thing!"
1.8. Intrinsic values.
Are something we value for themselves. This is opposed to instrumental values, which are mostly valuable for the effect they make.
Like that job offer by Biden's administration, that they have put on the White House website.
That is almost like UNIX security: oga.
That helps people work together even if they do not know each other.
A huge number of punishers!
1.13. Value traps.
Pursue the value without actually getting an intrinsic value out of it. Particular case: you associate something with an intrinsic value because it used to be associated. Particular case: you had a false belief that it was your value. Example: not having enough money reduced your autonomy, and you keep searching for money since.
When you are learning bullshit.
1.15. Doing something unproductive while feeling that you are doing something productive is the most non-productive thing ever.
1.16. Intuition pump
Diminishing returns on scaling own's emotions for larger scale. One person suffers: bad, ten people suffer: worse, million people suffer: ah, so bad, but you cannot scale your emotion.
1.17. Goal factoring
Algorithm: questioning the goal "why do I want it?".
Because A, B, C.
Is there another plan that brings you A, B, C?
This is what makes you find those A, B, C, that are leaves in your value system.
1.18. If you do not find your own intrinsic value, then your life is going into the wrong direction.
It may mislead you from your true intrinsic values.
1.22. the EA community is especially susceptible to is this,not drawing clear distinctions between these like my intrinsic value,with what I think my intrinsic value should be, versus what I think the universal truth about intrinsic values are, and those are different things and you should understand that
1.29. how likely would I be to see this evidence if my hypothesis is true, compared to if it’s false?
1.30. So that actually raises the bar pretty high because if you’re a psychologist trying to discover some new thing about psychology, you’re competing against people’s pretty well-honed, intuitive psychology detectors that they have really … Not only are they pretty well-honed, but they are getting feedback all the time. I’m like, “Oh, I mis-predicted my friend, and now my friend’s angry at me,” and that kind of thing.
2. 77 skills of excellent time managers.
2.8. Cut distractions.
3. Sasha Galitsky Don't cry, mama.
It's a bit hard of a book, although it does leave a bit of hope.
What I remember on the next day?
It's a very short book, actually. You can read it in an hour or two.
What is promising is that if you want to keep being young, you can do that for quite a long time.
Apart from that, most of the ideas I have already seen.
Maybe one of the thoughts that I should still keep in mind is that life is still as cruel as before.
4. Bill Joy on Jini 1998-08-01
|a jam of logs at a river
|an experimental lab
|underwater current from an engine
The Net made it possible. Java made it doable. Jini might just make it happen. An on-the-fly, plug-and-work, global nervous system that connects his cam to her RAM to your PDA.
Interesting, the first PDA I have seen was in 2003, AFAIR. The article is from 1998, and they already have them. And they are already thinking about the "Cloud".
4.2. The Irresistible Dream: Ever since Marshall McLuhan, a central dream of the digital culture has been to create one huge computer.
I have never thought that McLuhan was behind all that cyberpunk idea. I need to check on him.
1998, and they already had that "Silicon Valley Demo" idea.
They already had flat-screen monitors in 1998!
4.5. Or add another 10 gigs of storage - no need to call a sysadmin, just grab a drive off the shelf, and plug it in.
Storage is philosophically important in computing. Laymen do not understand, or understand very roughly, the idea of storage, and why a picture weights more than text.
So, their assumption about the "ease" of something is already biased. What we have come to now, in 2021, is to try and make people forget about "storage" altogether. People do not understand how much "Storage", say, Telegram eats every minute.
What Java aims to do for software - be a lingua franca - Jini hopes to do for the machines that run it: provide an overarching, universal platform - a distributed operating system, in effect, on which devices of every description can meet. "Jini is the next chapter in the Java story," reads another project mantra.
4.7. Free as Android?
The release name is still being debated, but the marketing plan is not: It will reprise the same strategy that fueled the explosive take-offs of both the World Wide Web and Java - essentially, give it away. "There's one thing we've all learned from watching Java and the Net," says Mike Clary, Joy's key colleague in Aspen and Jini's overall project manager. "This can only be a ubiquity play."
4.8. Sun Aspen Smallworks
Aspen is a small city in Colorado. It is 1800 km away from Silicon Valley.
Doesn't make sense. Why would you go to a town of 7000 people?
4.9. too-cute Victorians
They probably mean something like a Victorian mansion.
4.10. What is at Jini's core?
Jini is a set of new software layers that together create an overarching "federation" of computer devices and services.
On top is a directory service, based on a "lookup" mechanism that allows different Jini-enabled devices and applications to register and be seen on the network. The next-level service is persistence, provided by JavaSpaces technology, which stores objects so that other users or applications can retrieve them. Below that, a set of protocols based on Java's Remote Method Invocation enables objects to communicate and pass each other code. And finally a boot, join, and discover protocol allows Jini-compatible devices, users, and applications to announce themselves to the network and register in a directory.
Isn't that kinda "serverless"?
5. Bill Joy Why the Future Doesn't Need Us, 2000-04-01
|state of disillusionment and sadness
|a narrow strip of land between 2 landmasses
|a very tall cliff (metaphorically)
|To seem indicative of a favorable outcome
|Bring out and show for inspection and admiration
5.1. Ray Kurzweil
That guy that wrote about the "technological singularity".
5.2. Telecosm Conference
The last one seems to have been in 2009. http://www.telecosmconference.com/ George Gilder and Steve Forbes were the main drivers.
Gilder is that guy: https://threefounderspublishing.com/our-editors
Forbes is the Forbes Magazine founder and Editor-In-Chief. (Yes, that very Forbes.)
Those venture capitalists seemed to be very enthusiastic about "Technological Singularity" or some of that kind of stuff.
Seriously? Searle was invited to that kind of conference? Unbelievable.
5.4. Ray saying that the rate of improvement of technology was going to accelerate and that we were going to become robots or fuse with robots or something like that, and John countering that this couldn't happen, because the robots couldn't be conscious.
Effectively happening now. Generally, people are very eagerly rejecting consciousness, offloading it to the machines wherever possible.
5.5. Our overuse of antibiotics has led to what may be the biggest such problem so far: the emergence of antibiotic-resistant and much more dangerous bacteria.
So, the scarecrow of "antibiotic-resistant bacteria" was already present in 2000. So, 20 years have passed, where are those nitrocharged bacteria that you are warning about, Dr Gelfand?
5.6. how our main job in the 21st century will be "ensuring continued cooperation from the robot industries" by passing laws decreeing that they be "nice,"
Hm… Facebook censorship argument.
5.8. Danny Hillis
Still alive, works for the USA Defence Council. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Danny_Hillis Made https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Connection_Machine at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thinking_Machines_Corporation.
They had kind of a dream-team of scientists working for them. But failed. Later became Sun Microsystems, which itself failed.
5.9. when I discovered computers I found something much more interesting: a machine into which you could put a program that attempted to solve a problem, after which the machine quickly checked the solution.
This is interesting and philosophically inspiring. Machines are not the thing that gives us new stuff, it is the thing that checks our ideas for correctness. The new paragon of truth.
If you can explain it to a machine, your idea is correct.
5.10. I believe we all would agree that golden rice, with its built-in vitamin A, is probably a good thing
Aha! The Golden Rice has been the case in 2000 already.
5.11. Foresight Institute
The Foresight Institute is a Palo Alto, California-based research non-profit that promotes the development of nanotechnology and other emerging technologies. The institute holds conferences on molecular nanotechnology and awards yearly prizes for developments in the field.
5.12. Molecular electronics—the new subfield of nanotechnology where individual molecules are circuit elements—should mature quickly and become enormously lucrative within this decade, causing a large incremental investment in all nanotechnologies.
We do have sequencing chips now, but they are the only bio-electronic thing I am aware of that is on the market.
5.13. "Plants" with "leaves" no more efficient than today's solar cells could out-compete real plants, crowding the biosphere with an inedible foliage.
Darwinian outcompetition! Fun!
5.14. One would think we might be driven to such a dialogue (about dangers of tech) by our instinct for self-preservation.
That is, indeed, happening!
"At the dawn of societies, men saw their passage on Earth as nothing more than a labyrinth of pain, at the end of which stood a door leading, via their death, to the company of gods and to Eternity. With the Hebrews and then the Greeks, some men dared free themselves from theological demands and dream of an ideal City where Liberty would flourish. Others, noting the evolution of the market society, understood that the liberty of some would entail the alienation of others, and they sought Equality." Jacques helped me understand how these three different utopian goals exist in tension in our society today. He goes on to describe a fourth utopia, Fraternity, whose foundation is altruism. Fraternity alone associates individual happiness with the happiness of others, affording the promise of self-sustainment.
Fraternity is, obviously, a mirage.
But many other people who know about the dangers still seem strangely silent. When pressed, they trot out the "this is nothing new" riposte—as if awareness of what could happen is response enough. They tell me, There are universities filled with bioethicists who study this stuff all day long. They say, All this has been written about before, and by experts. They complain, Your worries and your arguments are already old hat. I don't know where these people hide their fear. As an architect of complex systems I enter this arena as a generalist. But should this diminish my concerns? I am aware of how much has been written about, talked about, and lectured about so authoritatively. But does this mean it has reached people? Does this mean we can discount the dangers before us? Knowing is not a rationale for not acting. Can we doubt that knowledge has become a weapon we wield against ourselves?
So, he had that fear of the unknown even at that time. Interesting. I used to think that the Golden Age was the age of overwhelming optimism. I was wrong.
A von Neumann probe is a spacecraft capable of replicating itself.